arts, ideas & societyanalysisOur World in Data

Global fertility has halved since 1950, falling to about 2.2 children per woman

the gist

Fertility, the average number of children a woman has over her lifetime, has fallen worldwide. In 1950 the global average was almost five children per woman, and today it is about 2.2. The replacement level, roughly 2.1 children, is the rate at which a population stays stable over time without migration, because some children die before adulthood and a few babies are born male at more than an even rate. Countries differ widely: many with higher incomes, better education for women, widespread contraception and urban living have fallen below replacement, while some lower-income countries still have much higher rates. Falling fertility also means populations age, as fewer young people support more older adults.

so what

Fertility trends shape pensions, labour markets, schools and housing for decades, so they are among the biggest long-term forces behind economic and social change.

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