mind & bodyWikipedia

People believe they have changed a lot until now but will barely change in the future

the gist

People of every age tend to believe they have grown and changed a great deal up to the present, but expect that their personality, tastes and values will stay roughly the same from here on. A 20-year-old predicts smaller changes over the next decade than a 30-year-old remembers from the decade just past. Psychologist Daniel Gilbert, one of the key researchers, named this the end-of-history illusion. The illusion appears in teenagers, middle-aged adults and seniors alike. Gilbert suggests it reflects how hard future change is to predict, and our satisfaction with who we are now.

how it works

Looking back, we can see obvious changes in our past selves, so change feels like a real and ongoing process. Looking forward, we imagine our present self as a near-final version. The gap between the two views produces the illusion that the future will be calm.

so what

The illusion matters for decisions about money, careers, relationships and self-image that assume a stable future self. Knowing that your future tastes will probably shift can make present commitments feel less permanent.

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia · text CC BY-SA 4.0

Illustrative photo · Wesxdz, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons