nature & planetThe Conversation
5 ways countries stymie climate negotiations without actually saying ‘no’
As the COP31 climate talks opened in Antalya, an environmental studies professor lays out five ways countries stall negotiations without ever saying 'no'. They include claiming that 'we can't afford it', even though governments gave about $1.2 trillion in public support to fossil fuels in 2024, roughly five times the $254 billion for clean energy, and promising that future technology will fix things, which lets drastic cuts wait. At COP29 rich countries offered $300 billion a year by 2035 against the $1.3 trillion developing countries wanted. The pattern shows how a few obstructing voices can water down a deal while appearing to be climate leaders.
Consensus rules mean a handful of countries can dilute a global deal, which helps explain why emissions are still at record levels after decades of talks. Knowing the tactics helps readers judge what negotiators really say.
In 2004 Princeton's Pacala and Socolow proposed 15 'stabilization wedges', each cutting a billion tons of CO2, a framework often cited in climate debates.
Illustrative photo · Phinken, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons
