nature & planetOur World in Data

How much more CO2 the world can emit and still keep warming under 1.5 degrees

the gist

The Paris Agreement, signed in 2015, aims to keep global warming well below 2 degrees Celsius and ideally to 1.5 degrees. The remaining carbon budget is the total amount of CO2 that can still be emitted while staying within that limit with a given probability. Because warming tracks cumulative emissions rather than the annual rate, each tonne emitted uses up part of a finite allowance, and that allowance shrinks every year it is used.

so what

The carbon budget turns a vague target into a concrete countdown, showing how quickly emissions must fall to avoid exceeding the limit.

Our World in Data · CC BY 4.0

Image: Our World in Data, CC BY 4.0