arts, ideas & societyWikipedia1961–1968 · USA
The McNamara fallacy: ignoring what cannot be measured leads to disastrous decisions
The McNamara fallacy is the mistake of deciding only on the basis of measurable numbers and ignoring everything else. It takes its name from Robert McNamara, US Secretary of Defense from 1961 to 1968. The sociologist Daniel Yankelovich described the progression in four steps: measure what is easy to measure, ignore what is hard to measure or assign it an arbitrary value, assume what cannot be measured is unimportant, and finally assume it does not exist. Yankelovich argued that McNamara's focus on metrics such as enemy body counts in the Vietnam War, while ignoring other factors, contributed to the American defeat. The fallacy is also called the quantitative fallacy.
It is a warning for governments, companies and schools that rely on dashboards, since the numbers they track can quietly replace the goals they were meant to serve. The idea is widely used in discussions of metrics and management.
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia · text CC BY-SA 4.0
Illustrative photo · DoD photo by Oscar Porter, U.S. Army., Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
