15:24

supplementary video · The Guardian on YouTube ↗

politicsanalysisLSE USAPP (American Politics and Policy)

After the midterm rout, Republicans may go further toward MAGA

the gist

A Democratic sweep in the 2026 midterms does not settle the future of Trumpism. Analysts distinguish between Trump himself and the wider MAGA movement. Parts of MAGA already consider Trump too tame, and some of its more extreme parts feel let down by his involvement in a war in Iran and by a lack of prosecutions of his opponents. A losing night may push Republicans to pursue an even more MAGA-aligned candidate in the 2028 presidential race, not to move toward the center. Democrats will control both chambers of Congress from January 2027.

so what

How Republicans read this defeat will shape the 2028 race: the split between Trump loyalty and a broader movement could decide whether the party moderates or hardens.

fun fact

The term MAGA, short for 'Make America Great Again', was first used in Ronald Reagan's 1980 campaign.